Sloop's own model — team ratings & recent form, priced independently of the bookmaker. The same expected goals price every market, and the value edges below are where it disagrees with the Singapore Pools line (shown as the benchmark).
Where the independent fair odds beat the offered price on the goals family— over/under, both-teams-to-score, odd/even (HT & FT). This is the model's proven edge (positive closing-line value), so these are the bets it stakes.
What the Singapore Pools closing line implies, with the bookmaker's margin removed — the benchmark to compare Sloop's prediction against. Locked to the closing line; it doesn't move with the live score.
