Every edge is logged as a virtual bet at the line shown and notionally sized, then settled against the real result and measured for closing-line value. Each line runs on its own bankroll so it can be validated separately. Tap a card to dig in.
The same Elo model on the RESULT/supremacy family — 1X2, handicaps, half-time result. These depend on who wins, the bookmaker's sharpest line, which a market-blind model can't beat (negative closing-line value). Priced and tracked here for CLV, but never staked — a watch-list, not a bankroll.
Shadow line — these result-market edges are not staked, so the bankroll & P&L here are hypothetical. Watch CLV: it's the signal for whether the Elo could ever beat the bookmaker's sharp result line. If a market's CLV turns durably positive, promote it to the staked Elo line.
How bad the worst losing run got, and how long it took to climb out — the betting analogue of a trading drawdown report.
| Market | Bets | Won | Staked | P&L | ROI | Avg CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half Time Asian Handicap | 2 | 1 | $65.40 | +$1.27 | +1.9% | +0.1% |
| Half Time Will Both Teams Score | 4 | 1 | $40.90 | -$5.38 | -13.2% | +1.6% |
| Total Goals Over/Under 2.5 | 6 | 3 | $204.30 | -$14.28 | -7.0% | +5.5% |
| Halftime Total Goals Over/Under 1.5 | 1 | 0 | $16.50 | -$16.50 | -100.0% | — |
| Will Both Teams Score | 3 | 1 | $96.60 | -$22.89 | -23.7% | -0.0% |
| 1X2 | 7 | 1 | $155.60 | -$43.54 | -28.0% | -2.0% |
| Asian Handicap | 3 | 1 | $115.90 | -$68.52 | -59.1% | +1.4% |
| 1/2 Goal | 6 | 0 | $108.20 | -$108.20 | -100.0% | +13.1% |
| Total | 32 | 8 | $803.40 | -$278.04 | -34.6% | +3.2% |
| Status | Selection | Odds | CLV | Stake | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lost | Empoli -1.5 1/2 GoalShadow | 4.00 | +0.0% | $14.20 | -$14.20 |
